Strategy studies

Strategy studiesNovember 5, 2026VIP

TSM Backtest: Trend-Pullback Strategy Lagged Buy-and-Hold In and Out of Sample

A backtest covering October 1, 2021, to October 21, 2026, found lower cumulative returns than buy-and-hold in both periods; the out-of-sample result used only three trades.

Strategy studiesOctober 26, 2026VIP
Nvidia (NVDA) 20-Day Breakout Backtest: 5.2% Out-of-Sample Return vs. 112.6% Buy-and-Hold
The rule returned 284.7% in sample on four trades, but 5.2% out of sample on three trades, versus 112.6% for buy-and-hold; maximum drawdown widened to 21.2%.

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November 2026

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Fri, Nov 6
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Tue, Nov 10
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Tue, Nov 17
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Wed, Nov 25
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Fri, Dec 4
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TSM Backtest: Trend-Pullback Strategy Lagged Buy-and-Hold In and Out of Sample

Nvidia (NVDA) 20-Day Breakout Backtest: 5.2% Out-of-Sample Return vs. 112.6% Buy-and-Hold